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Projected Climate Change Effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plains Birds: Generalities of Biodiversity Consequences
Title | Projected Climate Change Effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plains Birds: Generalities of Biodiversity Consequences |
Publication Type | Journal Article |
Year of Publication | 2003 |
Authors | Peterson, A. T. |
Journal | Global Change Biology |
Volume | 9 |
Issue | 5 |
Pagination | 647-655 |
Date Published | MAY 2003 |
ISBN Number | 1354-1013 |
Keywords | ALGORITHMS, biodiversity consequences, BIRDS, Climate change, DISTRIBUTIONS, ECOSYSTEM, GEOGRAPHIC DISTRIBUTIONS, models, niche, PREDICTION, SCENARIOS, sensitivity, SPECIES RANGE, topography |
Abstract | Climate change effects on biodiversity are already manifested, and yet no predictive knowledge characterizes the likely nature of these effects. Previous studies suggested an influence of topography on these effects, a possibility tested herein. Bird species with distributions restricted to montane (26 species) and Great Plains (19 species) regions of central and western North America were modeled, and climate change effects on their distributions compared: in general, plains species were more heavily influenced by climate change, with drastic area reductions (mode 35% of distributional area lost under assumption of no dispersal) and dramatic spatial movements (0-400 km shift of range centroid under assumption of no dispersal) of appropriate habitats. These results suggest an important generality regarding climate change effects on biodiversity, and provide useful guidelines for conservation planning. |
Reference number | 439 |
Short Title | Projected Climate Change Effects on Rocky Mountain and Great Plains Birds: Generalities of Biodiversity Consequences |
Citation Key | 439 |