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A Semi-empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-level Rise
| Title | A Semi-empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-level Rise |
| Publication Type | Journal Article |
| Year of Publication | 2007 |
| Authors | Rahmstorf, S. |
| Journal | Science |
| Volume | 315 |
| Issue | 5810 |
| Pagination | 368-370 |
| Date Published | JAN 19 2007 |
| ISBN Number | 0036-8075 |
| Keywords | OCEAN |
| Abstract | A semi-empirical relation is presented that connects global sea-level rise to global mean surface temperature. It is proposed that, for time scales relevant to anthropogenic warming, the rate of sea-level rise is roughly proportional to the magnitude of warming above the temperatures of the pre-Industrial Age. This holds to good approximation for temperature and sea-level changes during the 20th century, with a proportionality constant of 3.4 millimeters/year per degrees C. When applied to future warming scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this relationship results in a projected sea-level rise in 2100 of 0.5 to 1.4 meters above the 1990 level. |
| DOI | DOI 10.1126/science.1135456 |
| Reference number | 103 |
| Short Title | A Semi-empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-level Rise |
| Citation Key | 103 |