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Attribution of Cyclogenesis Region Sea Surface Temperature Change to Anthropogenic Influence

TitleAttribution of Cyclogenesis Region Sea Surface Temperature Change to Anthropogenic Influence
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2008
AuthorsGillett, NP, P. A. Stott, and B. D. Santer
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume35
Pagination-
Date PublishedMAY 13 2008
ISBN Number0094-8276
KeywordsATLANTIC HURRICANE ACTIVITY, INTENSITY, POWER DISSIPATION, RECENT INCREASE, variability
Abstract

Previous research has identified links between tropical cyclone activity and sea surface temperatures in the tropical cyclogenesis regions of the North Atlantic and Western North Pacific. Other work has demonstrated that warming in these regions is inconsistent with simulated internal variability. After evaluating the variability of a suite of climate models on a range of timescales, we use detection and attribution methods and a suite of 20th century simulations including anthropogenic and natural forcing to identify a significant response to external forcing in both regions during the June-November hurricane season over the 20th century. We then use separate simulations of the response to natural and anthropogenic forcing to identify anthropogenic influence independently of natural influence in both the Atlantic and Pacific Cyclogenesis Regions.

DOIDOI 10.1029/2008GL033670
Reference number

67

Short TitleAttribution of Cyclogenesis Region Sea Surface Temperature Change to Anthropogenic Influence
Citation Key67